I have a working theory that overall betting odds on elections are affected by what people wish would happen as much as what people think will happen. However, my theory is individual seat odds are less likely to be affected by the casual gambler and the betting odds are likely to be dominated by ...

The global economy is in a delicate state. Nearly every major economy is facing some sort of headwind. There are several signs that a global recession may be on the horizon. In this post, we’ll look at six of those signs. So far, all of these indicators have been pointing towards a slowdown in ...

There has been a lot of talk lately about electric vehicles and their impact on the electricity grid. Some say we can't transition to renewable energy because electric cars will swamp the grid with demand. GMO's Grantham was the latest of a long line who are concerned:

Recently described by CNBC as “the hot new investing strategy”, Vanguard, Blackrock and Morgan Stanley have all recently acquired direct indexing companies to bolster their investment offerings to clients. Nucleus Wealth is proud to announce directindexing.com.au - Australia’s first direct indexing ...

A side effect of Russia's invasion of Ukraine has been the jump in oil and gas prices. The result is basically a global Putin carbon tax. Albeit with the proceeds going to Russia and OPEC rather than to national governments. When you add the re-realisation of commodity supply chain instability, ...

The western world has not engaged in war with Russia in a traditional sense yet, but it is waging financial war through economic sanctions and the divestment of Russian securities. Nucleus Wealth wants to reassure you that we do not hold any Russian investments across any of our portfolios. It is ...

Not every investment has an equal distribution of upside and downside. Humans, as a rule, tend to deal with asymmetric risk badly. Lotteries are a good example: a very low probability of a big gain is hard to calculate. So hard that governments regulate lotteries heavily. They understand how bad ...

Chinese inflation indexes were weak again yesterday. Consumer price inflation has been weak for more than a year now. Yesterday merely confirmed December's downtrend.

Uncertainty increasing I have some pretty clear ideas about which trends are sustainable and which ones aren't in the long term. However, the short term is far less clear. A combination of the Omicron variant and a geopolitical energy crisis in Europe have extended inflationary and supply chain ...

2021 began with optimism. After Victoria beat off its virus second wave, Australia was effectively virus free with the economy primed to boom on the back of pent-up demand and the unprecedented stimulus saved by households that had yet to be unleashed on the economy.